❓ WA Parliamentary Question on Notice regarding projected primary and secondary school student numbers in Western Australia for 2014-2016, and new information received by the government after the budget presentation regarding student growth.
AnsweredQoN 1072Legislative Assembly
QuestionView source ↗
(1) As at 8 August 2013 what was the assumed number of children commencing primary school in Western Australia in 2014, 2015 and 2016? (2) As at 8 August 2013 what was the assumed number of children commencing secondary school in Western Australia in 2014, 2015 and 2016? (3) As at 19 August what was the assumed number of children commencing primary school in Western Australia in 2014, 2015, 2016? (4) As at 19 August what was the assumed number of children commencing secondary school in Western Australia in 2014, 2015, 2016? (5) In the West Australian newspaper on 20 August 2013 the Premier stated that information had come to Government after the Budget was presented which showed further growth in student numbers at Government schools, and I ask: (a) what was this new information; and (b) when did this new information come to Government?
AnswerView source ↗
Answered
23 October 2013
Responded by
Minister representing the Minister for Education
Response time
43 days
For the purposes of this response, the term 'commencing' is interpreted as meaning the total number of students in public schools, i.e. students previously enrolled in a public school in Western Australia, as well as new arrivals from interstate, overseas and non-government sectors in Western Australia.
Projections are normally reported at a more general level (e.g. rounded to the nearest thousand students).
Part of the projected increase in enrolments in 2015 is due to it being the first year of full Kindergarten to Year 12 cohorts, after the half-cohort finishes Year 12 in 2014.
The Semester 1 projections provided in (1) to (4) are based on historical enrolment figures and trends, and Australian Bureau of Statistics projections. They are used for broad planning purposes. Actual enrolments in 2014, 2015 and 2016 will differ from these projections.
(1) Projected primary school students:
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
203,697
290,608
2015
191,311
268,706
2016
197,480
277,418
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model following the Semester 1, 2013 student census.
Public schools include community kindergarten students.
Primary projections for 2015 and 2016 do not include Year 7, which becomes part of secondary school from 2015.
(2) Projected secondary school students:
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
80,519
140,258
2015
104,640
181,462
2016
105,869
184,387
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model following the Semester 1, 2013 student census.
Secondary projections from 2015 include Year 7.
(3) Projected primary school students (revised):
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
205,507
290,608
2015
193,150
268,706
2016
199,319
277,418
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model.
Projections for public schools were revised using the preliminary Semester 2, 2013 student census data. Revised projections for 'all schools' were not produced and therefore are the same as those reported in (1).
Public schools include community kindergarten students.
Primary projections for 2015 and 2016 do not include Year 7, which becomes part of secondary school from 2015.
(4) Projected secondary school students (revised):
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
81,828
140,258
2015
106,103
181,462
2016
107,332
184,387
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model.
Projections for public schools were revised using the preliminary Semester 2, 2013 student census data. Revised projections for 'all schools' were not produced and therefore are the same as those reported in (2).
Secondary projections from 2015 include Year 7.
5(a) - (b)
Preliminary data as at 16 August 2013 showing estimated public school enrolments on the Semester 2 student census day (2 August 2013) was the new information provided to Government.
Projections are normally reported at a more general level (e.g. rounded to the nearest thousand students).
Part of the projected increase in enrolments in 2015 is due to it being the first year of full Kindergarten to Year 12 cohorts, after the half-cohort finishes Year 12 in 2014.
The Semester 1 projections provided in (1) to (4) are based on historical enrolment figures and trends, and Australian Bureau of Statistics projections. They are used for broad planning purposes. Actual enrolments in 2014, 2015 and 2016 will differ from these projections.
(1) Projected primary school students:
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
203,697
290,608
2015
191,311
268,706
2016
197,480
277,418
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model following the Semester 1, 2013 student census.
Public schools include community kindergarten students.
Primary projections for 2015 and 2016 do not include Year 7, which becomes part of secondary school from 2015.
(2) Projected secondary school students:
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
80,519
140,258
2015
104,640
181,462
2016
105,869
184,387
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model following the Semester 1, 2013 student census.
Secondary projections from 2015 include Year 7.
(3) Projected primary school students (revised):
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
205,507
290,608
2015
193,150
268,706
2016
199,319
277,418
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model.
Projections for public schools were revised using the preliminary Semester 2, 2013 student census data. Revised projections for 'all schools' were not produced and therefore are the same as those reported in (1).
Public schools include community kindergarten students.
Primary projections for 2015 and 2016 do not include Year 7, which becomes part of secondary school from 2015.
(4) Projected secondary school students (revised):
Year
Public schools
All schools
2014
81,828
140,258
2015
106,103
181,462
2016
107,332
184,387
Based on the Department of Education's System Performance projection model.
Projections for public schools were revised using the preliminary Semester 2, 2013 student census data. Revised projections for 'all schools' were not produced and therefore are the same as those reported in (2).
Secondary projections from 2015 include Year 7.
5(a) - (b)
Preliminary data as at 16 August 2013 showing estimated public school enrolments on the Semester 2 student census day (2 August 2013) was the new information provided to Government.
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